In the full Outlook Report, we take an in-depth look at the market players, dynamics, fallacies, drivers, and finally give our predictions for gold and silver over the coming year. Our unique analysis of precious metals, encapsulated in our Supply and Demand model, is a true signal in an otherwise very noisy market.
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The evil FOMC published its hawkish statement on monetary policy. Gold fought valiantly, gold fought nobly, gold fought honorably. Despite all this sacrifice, it lost the battle. How will it handle the next clashes?
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Can the Fed Fix the Economy? The general mood over the economy is negative. People are worried and upset. Can the fed give us some hope? CEOs are expecting the supply chain issues to run into 2023, so monetary policy from the fed may be the only way in which we can combat this inflation.
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Financial reporter Emma Dunkley directed our attention to the latest commodities research report from Goldman Sachs, titled Gold: Time to buy the defensive real asset. Goldman’s researchers offer a number of compelling reasons for concerned investors to consider…
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In the epic struggle between chaos and order, chaos has an easier task, as there is usually only one proper method to do a job – the job that you can screw up in many ways. Thus, although economists see a strong economic expansion with cooling prices and normalization in monetary policies in 2022, many things could go wrong.
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Officials in Washington who insist things are looking up in the economy just don’t get it (or, in many cases, are deliberately misleading). Ordinary Americans, however, do get it. They know they are losing out to inflation as 61% of Americans say their family incomes are falling behind their costs of living…
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The Battlecruiser Hawk is moving full steam ahead! The FOMC issued yesterday (January 26, 2022) its newest statement on monetary policy in which it strengthened its hawkish stance. First of all, the Fed admitted that it would start hiking interest rates “soon”
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It looks as though the next few years will be a bumpy ride for retirement savers. Not welcome news, considering the fact that today’s “stubbornly, persistently high” inflation looks like it will stick around. Worse yet, some projections forecast a negative annual return on stocks for the next decade.
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With the Fed printing trillions of dollars and sending it directly into the banking system, it’s no surprise that the banks are doing well. But maybe we should be surprised… wasn’t the point of printing all this money to get it to people like you and me?
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While most of us are worried about a bubble burst, labor shortages, and our portfolios keeping up with inflation, billionaires made a fortune thanks to trillions of dollars printed by the Federal Reserve. How does this happen and what does it mean for our economy?
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The Federal Reserve published Money and Payments: The U.S. Dollar in the Age of Digital Transformation, and solicits comments about its ideas for a central bank digital currency (CBDC). This is our extended commentary offered in response…
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Americans who own only conventional assets, such as stocks and bonds, but now many are thinking about when to cash out and which assets will be best to hold as they hunker down. So far, the investor flight to safety has been modest, but portfolio de-risking is now set to grow and will stocks remain available?
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Inflation began soaring last April. The latest Consumer Price Index (CPI) registered at 7% –- the highest year-over-year CPI in nearly 40 years. So … higher interest rates are a given, then, right? Maybe not. The Federal Reserve is saying rate hikes are a “go,” but some economists believe the risks to equities and real estate are just too great.
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So, 2021 is over! 2022 will be better, right? Yeah, for sure! Just relax, what’s the worst that could happen? My outlook for the gold market in 2022 suffers from manic depression: I see first a period of despair and an elevated mood later. But seriously, what can we expect from this year?
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President Biden said at the beginning of last month that the U.S. economy was in “strong shape,” but it’s clear that everyday Americans aren’t anywhere near as optimistic in their outlook as the nation’s chief executive is. Economists are concerned Fed actions will lead to not only inflation, but recession.
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Gold soared as investors got scared by reports of an allegedly impending military conflict. Was it worth reacting sharply to geopolitical factors? What happened? Investors got scared of the Russian bear and inflationary hydra. The threat of Ukrainian invasion and renewal of a conflict weakened risk appetite among investors.
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There are so many ways for retirement savers to invest their hard-earned dollars it can make your head spin. There are high risk investments like options. There are lower risk investments like Treasuries. There are both long-term investments and short-term investments. No wonder retirement savers get confused.
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The Fed is going to kill the supply chain. The expectations of the Fed raising interest rates will cascade a new set of problems throughout the companies that we depend on. Don’t be shocked if eggs cost 10 dollars a carton.
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Inflation spiked 7.1% in December, and the Fed is likely to raise interest rates already in March. Still, gold remains uninterested. “Inflation is too high,” admitted Lael Brainard during her nomination hearing in the Senate for the Vice Chair of the Fed. You don’t say, Governor Obvious!
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Inflation is through the roof and Netflix isn’t the only thing that’s going up in price. In this video Augusta Precious Metals director of education Devlyn Steele breaks down what the price increase could mean about our economy as a whole.
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Last week’s Consumer Price Index and Producer Price Index reports put those measures of inflation at 7.0% and 9.7%, respectively. Manufacturers had to bear the brunt of the inflation surge in 2021. The worst may be yet to come for consumers as producers pass on their costs to wholesalers and retailers.
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Fidelity International recently dove into an issue we’re grappling with every day: food, gas, rent, everything is getting more expensive. Though we’re most interested in how that affects us here in the U.S., nations around the world have been recording their highest inflation in decades. Across the board, prices have spiked in a relatively brief span of time.
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The U.S. economy teeters between two catastrophes: wild and untamed hyperinflation that turns cash into wallpaper, or an epic crash that would make 2008 look like a day at the beach. Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell has led the U.S. government’s monetary policy to this point.
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Powell testified before the Senate. He didn’t say anything new, but gold rallied a bit. “We are going to end asset purchases in March. We will raise rates. And at some point this year will let the balance sheet runoff,”
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In uncertain times, diversification is key to being able to survive market turbulence. Every investment advisor under the sun preaches diversification. Unfortunately, conventional asset allocation models prescribe only superficial diversification across stocks and bonds…
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Job creation disappointed in December. However, it could not be enough to counterweight rising real interest rates and save gold. Luckily for the yellow metal, nonfarm payrolls disappointed in December. Last month, the US labor market rose, adding just 199,000 jobs (see the chart below), well short of consensus estimates of 400,000.
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Mints and refiners who produce bullion rounds and bars have struggled to keep up. The industry has not been immune from labor and supply shortages faced by most businesses. The result has been higher premiums and wider bid/ask spreads for silver.
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A lot of folks experienced a challenging 2021 – hopefully you were not one of them. Unfortunately there are real reasons to believe 2022 could be exceptionally difficult for retirement savers. Part of the reason, of course, is inflation. Last April, observers were stunned…
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