Precious Metals Analysis

Gold is being boosted by a “debasement trade,” and according to JPMorgan analysts, this dynamic “may have legs.” According to a team of JPMorgan strategists led by Nikolaos Panigirtzoglou, the gold price has climbed above what should be expected, given these factors.

According to Bank of America, gold has overtaken the euro to become the world’s second-largest central bank reserve asset. With the central bank gold buying spree over the last several years, along with the rapid rise in price in 2024, the yellow metal now makes up about 16 percent of total reserve assets, just ahead of the euro.

Well, that didn’t take long. In April, Zimbabwe introduced a gold-backed currency in an effort to stabilize the country’s financial system. Less than six months later, the Reserve Bank of Zimbabwe has already devalued the new money. I hate to say, “I told you so,” but, well, I told you so.

Talking heads and politicians laud the “resilience” of American consumers. They managed to keep spending despite rapidly rising prices thanks to post-pandemic price inflation. But they rarely talk about how Americans have weathered the inflationary storm. When you look hard, it’s not a story of resilience but one of desperation.

According to the Russian website Russia’s Pivot to Asia, Russian businesses are buying physical gold in Russia and then transporting it to Hong Kong via courier. There, the gold is sold, and the cash is deposited into the bank accounts of Chinese suppliers to pay for goods and services.

Nassim Taleb, best known for his book The Black Swan, said on X that “people are not seeing the real de-dollarization in progress.” He pointed out that global transactions are still generally labeled in dollars “as an anchor currency. But central banks (particularly BRICS) have been storing, that is putting their reserves, in Gold.”

ING Bank has revised its short and midterm gold price forecast higher, saying the gold rally is “just getting started.” The Dutch financial group cites the prospect of a Federal Reserve rate-cutting cycle, geopolitical risks, and uncertainty going into the presidential election as potential catalysts to drive gold to new record highs.

Gold demand in China has been strong this year, reflecting a broader movement of the yellow metal from the West to the East. But the Chinese aren’t just accumulating gold. They have also been hoarding silver in recent months. Is China deliberately driving up the price of silver to drain the West’s resources?

There has been quite a bit of pushback against central bank digital currencies. But in the scramble to block CBDCs, some people seem to have forgotten that there is a more fundamental problem: government-issued paper fiat is the parent of a CBDC, and whether it is in physical or digital form, fiat currency isn’t real money.

For the first time ever, a 400-ounce bar of gold is worth $1 million. We hit the $1 million gold bar milestone on Friday when the price of gold topped $2,500 for the first time. The price of gold is up about 22 percent on the year and has set several new records along the way.