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Precious Metals Analysis

Is This the Tipping Point?

Is This the Tipping Point?

After almost 15 years of Fed-fueled cheap money offered at near-zero rates that was leveraged into overinflated speculative bubbles, the lights are on, the crowd is dispersing – and the party might finally be over.

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A Gold Investor’s Biggest Advantage

A Gold Investor’s Biggest Advantage

A stable gold price over $2,000/oz means that something has gone wrong. Either the greenback crumbled further, or there is some kind of issue that isn’t going away and that is driving haven demand. So often investors see asset prices rising and, fearful of missing out on a new bull market, buy in and drive prices even higher.

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U.S. Banking System Faces Worsening Crisis in Confidence

U.S. Banking System Faces Worsening Crisis in Confidence

The crisis in banks is front and center. Americans are watching a demonstration on how to take a crisis in confidence and make it worse. Many Americans have already lost trust in the FBI and DOJ. They don’t trust Janet Yellen and other bureaucrats in Washington, and they don’t trust Wall Street bankers.

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Banking Crisis 2023: Silver and Gold Safe-Haven Appeal

Banking Crisis 2023: Silver and Gold Safe-Haven Appeal

When it comes down to it, the primary appeal of precious metals for savers is their perceived capacity to act as safe-haven assets. That is, as assets with the tendency to strengthen during conditions that are unfavorable to economies,

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Something Horrifying Is Spreading Across the Banking System

Something Horrifying Is Spreading Across the Banking System

Over 95% of Silicon Valley Bank’s deposits are not insured by the FDIC (due to being over the $250,000 limit) That is over $160 billion in uninsured customer deposits. About half of all venture capital-funded startups in the U.S. are customers of SVB. That’s 65,000 startups.

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What Caused the Collapse of Silicon Valley Bank?

What Caused the Collapse of Silicon Valley Bank?

Silicon Valley Bank (SVB) collapsed and was then seized by the California Department of Financial Protection on Friday, March 10. This came after a frenetic two days, when the bank announced a big loss, tried to raise capital, and then faced an accelerating run-on-the-bank.

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Reduce Impact of Volatility on Savings and Retirement Accounts

Reduce Impact of Volatility on Savings and Retirement Accounts

You may have heard there’s a looming retirement crisis in America. In a nutshell, the term refers to the sizable difference between the amount Americans have saved for retirement and the amount they actually need to retire comfortably.

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Sound Money Center Stage in 2023

Sound Money Center Stage in 2023

Sound Money Bills Moving Forward Rapidly in Many States: Because there is so much activity happening at the state level with respect to sound money legislation, here is a quick update on some of the most important bills that are currently pending.

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Here’s How the Super-Rich Invest in Gold

Here’s How the Super-Rich Invest in Gold

The magazine recently published a story about how the wealthy invest in gold that offered no real surprises but plenty of confirmation that the super-wealthy share the same economic concerns as most of us.

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Pullback in Gold Stocks or a New, Powerful Decline?

Pullback in Gold Stocks or a New, Powerful Decline?

What a slide! The GDXJ ETF moved over 5% lower yesterday, and it closed at a fresh 2023 low. Is the bottom in or is the slide likely to continue? Let’s take a closer look at the charts to find out.

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The Truth They Won’t Tell You About Social Security

The Truth They Won’t Tell You About Social Security

Here’s the thing: the money you contribute to Social Security doesn’t go into an account in your name. Rather, it goes into a giant pool of money that’s used to pay benefits to those who’ve already retired. In fact, the Social Security trust that funds your benefit has been running a deficit for a while now.

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Relax, Take Profits Easy…

Relax, Take Profits Easy…

To say that junior miners were weak yesterday is like saying that the Fed printed “some money” in the last decade. It isn’t a lie, but it doesn’t convey the full truth either. Yesterday’s relative performance of junior mining stocks was a disaster

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Jay Powell is Victor Frankenstein

Jay Powell is Victor Frankenstein

A study in April 2021 found that over 25% of U.S. companies were zombies in 2020. These undead firms have been sucking the life out of the economy. But things are about to get rough for the zombie hordes…

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“No-Landing” Economy Scenario Gains Traction – But Is It Real?

“No-Landing” Economy Scenario Gains Traction – But Is It Real?

Even casual consumers of financial news likely recognize the terms “hard landing” and “soft landing” as they pertain to the economy. That isn’t to say they have a clear understanding of what each means, however. So, before I proceed to the real topic at hand…

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Is the Golden Age Of 2% Inflation Over?

Is the Golden Age Of 2% Inflation Over?

Despite the Fed’s best efforts thus far to raise rates and cool off inflation, I don’t expect relief any time soon. With that in mind, let’s look into the past to see what a longer period of inflation looks like. The best place to start in the U.S. is to take a brief look at an extraordinarily long period of inflation that took place from the 1970s

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The Rally in Gold – Did it Just End?

The Rally in Gold – Did it Just End?

Let’s start today’s analysis with a very short-term chart (hourly candlesticks) featuring the GDXJ ETF – a proxy for junior mining stocks. These miners have been the most volatile part of the precious metals sector – at least, it’s the more popular part.

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Want to know where silver is headed in 2023?

Want to know where silver is headed in 2023?

Every year we take a step back from our regular business of paying interest on gold and silver to our clients to give our thoughts on the likely direction of gold and silver prices for the coming year. We provide this in-depth analysis, for free, in our annual Gold Outlook Report.

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Catch-22: Rate Hikes

Catch-22: Rate Hikes

Contrary to popular misconceptions perpetuated by the Fed, the root causes of inflation aren’t tied to employment or economic growth. Inflation occurs when the currency supply expands too rapidly as confidence in the ability of U.S. dollars to retain their value falls.

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How High Can the Gold Price Rally in March?

How High Can the Gold Price Rally in March?

Fear and greed are common on the market, and due to them, people tend to follow specific patterns over and over again, regardless of the exact economic surroundings and also pretty much regardless of the time when it’s all taking place…

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500-Year-Old Law is Gold Investor’s BFF

500-Year-Old Law is Gold Investor's BFF

I think about Gresham’s law a lot. Back in the day of the first Queen Elizabeth (1533-1603), her banker, Sir Thomas Gresham, made an observation about currency debasement: Bad money drives out the good. You see, back in the 16th century, money was still “sound”…

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Gold Price Is ALMOST Ready to Rally

Gold Price Is ALMOST Ready to Rally

Enough is enough. No market can decline without correcting every now and then. And both gold and the USDX point to an upcoming reversal. Let’s start with gold. Looking at its price from a short-term point of view, we see that it…

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Even the Gold Price Has to Breathe!

Even the Gold Price Has to Breathe!

Long weekends are often a chance for the markets to cool off recent emotionality and focus on the main trend. And the trend in gold is back! Gold moved sharply higher during Friday intraday trading, and…

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Hidden In the Inflation Numbers: The Next Gold Price

Hidden In the Inflation Numbers: The Next Gold Price

The same people who told us inflation was “transitory” two years ago are still capable of being surprised when reality fails to meet their expectations. Even returning inflation to 2 percent won’t make absurd prices any lower – rather, prices will still rise, but at a slower pace.

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White House Actions Raise Risks to Economy

White House Actions Raise Risks to Economy

It would now be no surprise to many if a big city went dark tomorrow. It seems the unthinkable is becoming more and more thinkable as time goes. This raises questions for investors who want to protect themselves from rising risk factors.

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New Enthusiasm for Old Investment Strategy?

New Enthusiasm for Old Investment Strategy?

Activity among central banks, state legislators and younger savers could suggest bright future for metals with central bank 2022 gold purchases now highest on record. In fact for well more than a decade, central banks have been relentlessly stocking up on gold.

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‘Demand Destruction’: What It Means for You and Me

'Demand Destruction': What It Means for You and Me

If you listen to financial pundits talking about the Federal Reserve and the current state of the markets you might hear this term mentioned: “Demand destruction.” What is it? And what does it mean for you and me?

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Danger – Choose Your Bullion Dealer Carefully

Danger - Choose Your Bullion Dealer Carefully

Regal Assets, a somewhat prominent gold and silver dealer in southern California, is in serious trouble based on news released last week. Tyler Gallagher, the firm’s high-flying owner, has reportedly vanished…

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Gold Outlook 2023 Brief

Gold Outlook 2023 Brief

This is a brief preview of our annual Gold Outlook Report. Every year we take an in-depth look at the market players, dynamics, fallacies, and drivers of markets, and finally, give our predictions for gold and silver prices over the coming year.

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