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This is Not the Silver Breakout You’re Looking For

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Every once in a while, one regrets not acting sooner, or not acting soon enough.

Keith WeinerBullion.Directory precious metals analysis 09 March, 2022
By Keith Weiner

CEO at Monetary Metals

In our case, we did not publish this Tuesday evening. We should have. Today the price is down, and others may also call for lower silver prices.

Oh well. Our consolation is that they most likely are not calling for lower silver prices based on the same indicator we observe.

The basis.

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Here is the chart:

 

Silver Price Basis Chart

ag_basis_continuous_2022-03-08_150-day

Look at that moonshot!

basis = future(bid) – spot(offer)

cobasis = spot(bid) – future(offer)

As the price has risen since February 25, from under $24, to yesterday around $27, the silver basis shot up. It went from 0.67% to 4.18%.

 

Silver Buyer Beware

Folks, it does not get any clearer than this. The big price rally in silver was driven by big buying of silver futures.

NOT physical metal.

This is not a bullish sign. Those who buy futures are playing with leverage. In the best of times, they will sell to take profits. And in volatile times, they may need to sell to cover margin calls. Even when the silver price is rising, they may have margin calls on other positions in their portfolio. Or they may just be jittery.

Argentum emptor cave.*

*Silver buyer beware

Keith Weinerbullion.directory author Keith Weiner

Keith Weiner is founder and CEO of Monetary Metals, the groundbreaking investment company monetizing physical gold into an interest-bearing asset, paying yields in gold, not paper currency.

Keith writes and speaks extensively, based on his unique views of gold, the dollar, credit, the bond market, and interest rates. He’s also the founder and President of the Gold Standard Institute USA. His work was instrumental in the passing of gold legal tender laws in the state of Arizona in 2017, and he regularly meets with central bankers, legislators, and government officials around the world.

This article was originally published here

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