Want to know where the silver price is headed? Take a look at SLV volatility.
Bullion.Directory precious metals analysis 17 September, 2014
By Terry Kinder
Investor, Technical Analyst
So, what is this measure of SLV volatility? It’s the VXSLV:
CBOE calculates and disseminates the CBOE Silver ETF Volatility Index (ticker VXSLV), which reflects the implied volatility of the SLV ETF.
In the absence of much interesting happening in the silver market, the vacuum is often filled with stories, theories, memes, etc. outlining what will drive the price of silver either higher or lower. Most of this, frankly, is more noise than signal. What is clear, however, is that a general SLV volatility decline has been accompanied by a falling SLV and silver prices.
So, as an alternative to wading through often contradictory opinions and – too often – the equivalent of editorials urging you to buy or sell, keep an eye out for SLV volatility. Be skeptical of an increase in the price of SLV or silver without an accompanying rise in SLV volatility. Likewise, sustained SLV volatility, not met with an increase in the prices of SLV or silver, could present a buying opportunity.
In the case of silver, SLV volatility implies opportunity. Although silver may be slumbering for now, eventually the Sandman will pass on, and the silver market will wake up.
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