Gold Down On Le Pen’s Second Place Victory

Gold Price Sinks as ‘Markets Favorite’ Macron Beats Anti-Euro Le Pen in France’s 1st Round

Bullion.Directory precious metals analysis 24 April, 2017
By Steffen Grosshauser
European Operations Executive at Bullion Vault

Crude oil slipped back below $50 per barrel after an overnight jump, but the Euro held at 1-month highs to the Dollar, crushing the gold price for Eurozone investors almost 4.5% from last week’s 8-month high at €1221 per ounce.

Silver rallied from a plunge near 5-week lows against the Dollar at $17.65 per ounce.

China’s President Xi meantime called for calm over North Korea’s nuclear threats as US Navy aircraft carrier Carl Vinson sailed towards the neighboring Sea of Japan.

“Macron is the favourite of the markets, so there’s been a collective sigh of relief,” explained Tony Farnham at Australian stockbroking and financial services firm Patersons Securities overnight.

“As a result there was an exit out of the safe haven of gold into riskier investments like stock markets and foreign currency exchange.”

Monday morning’s benchmarking auction saw London gold prices fix at $1271 per ounce, down almost 1% from Friday’s afternoon level.

The Stoxx Europe 600 index of major shares meantime rose 3.8%, heading for its biggest advance since after the Brexit referendum last June.

The French CAC40 surged by 4.4%.

The 39-year old Macron – a former investment banker standing as an ‘anti-establishment’ candidate for a political party launched only last year – will now face second-placed Marine Le Pen of the anti-Euro, anti-immigration National Front on 7 May.

Macron has now been backed by most of Sunday’s losing contenders, except for third-placed Jean-Luc Mélenchon of Unsubmissive France, a new party also launched in 2016.

“It appears markets were pricing in the worst-case scenario,” said Australia and New Zealand Bank (ANZ) commodity strategist Daniel Hynes.

“Yesterday’s outturn was very much as opinion polls had predicted,” said Phillip Shaw, London-based chief economist at Investec Securities.

“But markets haven taken comfort from the avoidance of a Le Pen versus Melenchon run-off.”

“Gold prices have fallen sharply this morning due to the improvement in risk sentiment,” agreed Singapore-listed bank OCBC’ analyst Barnabas Gan.

“It does remove some of the suspense and risk-off sentiment we saw late last week.”

This week may now bring major US “tax reforms” on Wednesday according to an interview given by President Donald Trump at the weekend, ahead of Washington reaching its official debt ceiling – and risking a government shutdown until Congress resolves the $19 trillion limit – on Friday.

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