Gold Touches 3-Week High, China and Iran Push Back

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Gold Prices Touch 3-Week High as Iran and China Push Back Against US Demands

Adrian AshBullion.Directory precious metals analysis 08 May, 2019
By Adrian Ash

Head of Research at Bullion Vault

GOLD PRICES popped to 3-week highs against the US Dollar on Wednesday as Iran pushed back against US sanctions over its nuclear program and new data showed exports of Chinese goods slumping amid the ongoing US-China trade dispute.

European stock markets edged higher overall but Asian equities closed sharply lower for the day, extending yesterday’s near-2% drop on Wall Street.

Writing to China, France, Germany, the UK and also the European Union, “This is to save the [deal] not destroy it,” said Iran’s leader Hassan Rouhani, vowing to start enriching uranium in 60 days – something Washington already accuses it of – if the US doesn’t cease its unilateral move to sanctions.

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New data from China meantime said the world’s second largest economy saw imports jump but exports fall year-over-year in April, slashing its trade surplus with the rest of the world almost in half to $13.8 billion.

That marked China’s smallest April trade surplus since 2011.

US President Donald Trump’s threat at the weekend to impose heavy new sanctions on Chinese imports came after Beijing “deleted its [agreed] commitments” to a new US-China trade deal from a 150-page document cabled to Washington late Friday, the Reuters news agency claims.

US Secretary of State Mike Pompeo was today due to warn Nato-partner the UK over allowing telecoms equipment from Chinese tech giant Huawei in its 5G infrastructure.

Adding $10 for the week so far, Dollar gold prices rose 0.5% in Asian and London trade Wednesday despite yet more strong US data yesterday.

After both first-quarter corporate earnings and GDP growth beat Wall Street forecasts, along with April’s official estimate for non-farm payrolls growth, new data Tuesday showed job openings in the world’s largest economy growing back towards January’s series record above 7.5 million in March.

Chart of US job openings (JOLTS) vs Dollar gold price. Source: St.Louis Fed

Investing in the giant SPDR Gold Trust (NYSEArca: GLD) – the world’s largest gold-backed ETF fund – ended yesterday virtually unchanged near the smallest since October, needing fewer than 740 tonnes of backing despite the trust’s share price rallying almost 1.0% from last week’s drop to new 2019 lows.

Gold premiums in both China and India, relative to quotes in the world’s wholesale hub of London, both eased back on Wednesday after touching multi-year highs last week as US Dollar prices retreated.

Shanghai premiums last week touched $25 per ounce according to data compiled by the mining-industry backed World Gold Council, the largest incentive for new imports of bullion to the No.1 consumer nation since the immediate aftermath of Donald Trump’s election as US president in late 2016.

Gold premiums in India, net of the No.2 consumer nation’s heavy 10% bullion import duty, meantime ended last week at almost $15 per ounce, their highest since the previous Congress Party government abandoned its near-ban on inflows through the so-called 80:20 rule in late 2014.

Chart of India and China gold premiums over London quotes. Source: World Gold Council

With domestic Rupee prices holding strong, “People preferred lightweight wearable jewelry and diamonds” to buy on Tuesday’s Akshaya Tritiya festival, one jeweler in Pune tells the Times of India today.

Another dealer reports 15-20% sales growth from this time last year, but a third says growth was nearer 10%.

Euro gold prices today briefly touched €1153 per ounce – erasing all of last week’s 2.0% drop – while the UK gold price in Pounds per ounce rose more than 2.0% for the week so far to reach above £990 as campaigning got underway for the European Parliament elections Britain was supposed to have avoided by leaving the EU back in March.

Ranking a close third behind the ruling Conservative and opposition Labour parties in early opinion polls, ex-UKIP and now Brexit Party leader Nigel Farage today denied he is “a conspiracy theorist” after appearing repeatedly on now-banned-from-Facebook Alex Jones’ US shock-site Infowars.

This article was originally published here
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