Gold Flat at $1282 on Oil Decline

Gold Prices Dead Flat, $1282 ‘Now Key’ as Oil Declines, Base Metals Break 2-Year Trends

Adrian AshBullion.Directory precious metals analysis 05 June, 2018
By Adrian Ash

Head of Research at Bullion Vault

GOLD PRICES held dead-flat for this week so far against the Dollar, Euro and Sterling in London trade on Tuesday, treading water as the US stock markets paused at an 11-week high.

After US factory input costs showed the strongest pace of inflation in 7 years in May on the ISM Prices Paid index, a survey of service-sector managers today said business expanded for a record 100th successive month.

Over 96% of speculative betting on Fed Fund futures now says the US central bank will raise its key interest rate at June 13th’s policy meeting, up from 73% this time last month.

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After US President Trump lambasted Opec for squeezing energy prices higher, Washington “has quietly asked” the cartel of oil-producing nations to raise their output by 1 million barrels a day, reports Bloomberg.

European benchmark Brent crude has now fallen $5 per barrel from late-May’s 3.5-year highs.

In base metals, “Copper has breached below the ascending channel that was in force since 2016 trough,” says a new technical analysis from French investment and bullion market-making bank Societe Generale, and “zinc has [also] proved unable so far to reclaim the 2-year up channel.”

The Dollar gold price has meantime also now “probed support of the [up-]trend since December 2016 at $1282,” says SocGen.

“This remains a key…If [it] gives way, gold will extend the decline.”

Chart of gold priced in Dollars, last 5 years, with uptrend since December 2016. Source: BullionVault

“We should see broad support toward $1289-1291,” reckons a note from Swiss refining and finance group MKS Pamp, “[but that is] now looking more vulnerable.”

>Above current levels, MKS’s trading desk says, “It is currently difficult to see a catalyst for a retest of $1300 [after] strong rejection on Monday.”

With gold priced in the Dollar holding at $1293 per ounce on Tuesday, Euro and Sterling prices held at €1109 and £967 respectively.

At the UK’s petrol pumps last month, gasoline and diesel prices jumped at a record pace according to the RAC insurance and breakdown service.

The UK government meantime approved a third runway at Heathrow Airport – Europe’s busiest terminal, with passenger numbers up 3% in 2017.

Italy’s borrowing costs meantime rose to a 4-session high above comparable German Bund yields as new prime minister Giuseppe Conte today vowed in his maiden speech to lawmakers to end “austerity” in government spending, cut the country’s share of illegal migrants to Europe, and review Western sanctions against Russia.

Over in Turkey, the world’s fifth largest gold consumer nation, President Recep Tayyip Erdoğan today told a rally of supporters that foreign powers are trying to “manipulate” the country’s economy by “playing on currencies,” vowing to “settle the score” with them after the June 24 snap elections, according to the Hurriyet newspaper.

This article was originally published here
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