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Weekly Gold Chart Divergence

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Could divergence on the weekly gold chart signal higher prices to come?

Terry Kinder precious metals analysisBullion.Directory precious metals analysis 16 October, 2014
By Terry Kinder

Investor, Technical Analyst

The price of gold, as represented by COMEX continuous gold, has recently rebounded sharply. This rebound in the price of gold is especially noticeable if you look at the daily chart. However, an interesting divergence between MACD and RSI versus the gold price has emerged on the weekly gold chart.

MACD and RSI have diverged from the COMEX continuous gold price on the weekly gold chart

A significant divergence between the COMEX continuous gold price and both the MACD and RSI has developed on the weekly gold chart.

As you can see in the chart above, the gold price has bounced up and down, but overall has remained flat since June.

In contrast, MACD and RSI are both sloping upward creating a bullish technical divergence.

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There are at least two ways the weekly gold chart divergence can go:

1) The gold price will rise to match the rising MACD and RSI indicators;

2) The MACD and RSI indicators will fall to match the falling gold price

Jordan Roy-Byrne, CMT thinks that the gold price will fall further.

Given the recent King Dollar smackdown, and how the daily and weekly gold charts are shaping up, I don’t necessarily think the gold price has to fall lower than it has already.

Look for the divergence on the weekly gold chart to resolve. The most likely resolution of the gold price would be higher on a weekly basis to match the rising MACD and RSI indicators.

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