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Precious Metals Analysis: November 05, 2016

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Gold Z-Score

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Gold has had a great run since our last outlook from our first and secondary levels of support, and price action has been able to climb through our intermediate target of $1,301.

However, due to the potential U.S. election upset by Donald Trump, the decline in the U.S. dollar and general market turmoil, the gains in the yellow metal have come quickly.

Near-term, the z-score of daily price action is 2.19 (down from 2.5) with the stochastics showing a potential for an overbought sell signal.

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On the other hand, the z-score on the weekly price action is -.39 and is combined with a healthy RSI and increased + DMI activity.

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*Note: the pricing z-score measures current pricing in relationship to the mean. A measure of +/- 2 is a great indication of a counter-trend, pullback or correction point.

Translation: gold has the potential to pullback near-term, especially is Hillary Clinton wins the White House on Tuesday. But, the longer-term trend still remains intact and healthy for further upward extension.

 

Likely to see continued resistance between $1,308-10 with nearest support near $1,284 then $1,262. On the risk aversion aspect of the coming election, a Trump win would give gold the boost to challenge the overwhelming downtrend – tested twice this year but failed – created as gold fell from $1,921.

 

This precious metals analysis is brought to you by MacroView Research an independent subscriber-based think tank specializing in safeguarding portfolios whilst maximizing profitability.

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